For MSSP ACOs and their advisors
Actuarial analytics for MSSP ACOs
Margin helps Medicare Shared Savings Program ACOs and the teams that support them forecast shared savings, understand benchmark and quality drivers, and compare rule scenarios, built on CMS public data and your own de-identified claims.
Shared savings forecast
Net payment distribution vs. MSR
- P50 net payment
- $1.2M
- P10 – P90
- $0.2M – $2.3M
- Chance of clearing MSR
- 68%
Product
What it does
One workspace for the questions finance and actuarial teams ask every performance year. Every model output is labeled as an estimate, scenario or illustration.
Forecasts and scenarios
Model shared savings and losses with a range of outcomes against the minimum savings rate, and run what-if scenarios on the levers you control. Results are labeled estimates.
EstimateBenchmark and quality
See how the benchmark is built step by step and which quality measures move your score, so the drivers behind a result are visible.
Rule watch
Track MSSP rule changes, including the proposed CY2027 rule, and see their estimated effect.
Proposed ruleLEAD comparison
An illustrative comparison of your MSSP path against the CMS LEAD Model.
IllustrativeCited copilot
Ask questions of de-identified data and get answers that cite their sources, so every figure can be traced.
Board packs
Draft board-ready summaries from the same cited figures, with a human review step before anything is shared.
How it works
From claims to a defensible view
Bring your data
Load CCLF deliveries and quality files. Public CMS data supplies the benchmark context.
De-identify and check
Analytics and the copilot read de-identified views of tenant data, with small cells suppressed.
Model and compare
Forecast savings, trace the benchmark, and compare rule and path scenarios side by side.
Review and report
Draft board-ready summaries from the same cited figures, with a human review step.
Audience
Who it is for
ACO finance and actuarial teams, MSSP consultants and management service organizations that need a defensible, repeatable view of performance under the Shared Savings Program.
Free, no sign-in
Two free tools, no sign-in
Both tools use public CMS data only and show estimates, not actuarial opinions.
Compare ACOs
Find an ACO and see its closest peers on public CMS metrics.
Rule explorer
Estimate the impact of the proposed CY2027 MSSP rule on an ACO.
Estimate
Security approach
How data is handled
Stated plainly, including what is not finished yet.
What is in place by design
- The public tools use only public CMS data. No patient information is collected.
- In the application, analytics and the copilot read de-identified views of tenant data.
- Small-cell counts are suppressed in outputs.
- Designed to align with HIPAA safeguards: tenant isolation, role-based access and audit logging. Compliance is contractual and is not asserted by this site.
- Demos and this repository use synthetic data only.
What is not claimed
See Margin on synthetic data
Pricing is scoped to your ACO or advisory practice. Tell us what you want to see and we will set up a walkthrough.